WhiteBIT Coin price prediction
Prediction cone · now → 1 year
log scale · 80% band, inner 50% band, median dottedDUKOIN outlook
Bullish
Neutral — 6 buy, 6 sell, 4 neutral indicator votes.
Buy on the 4h chart.
Price is above the 200-day average (+34.0%).
Fear & Greed 69 (Greed).
Signal backtest: 50% hit rate (7d) · no edge vs coin flip. Context, not a call.
checked = 80% band held ~80% of outcomes in the 2018–2026 walk-forward backtest · scenario = 1-year envelope (only ~7 independent years to test) · intraday = 4h from hourly volatility, scored by the live record.
Bull, base & bear targets
| Scenario | 7 days | 30 days | 1 year | What it would take |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull · top 10% | $87.64 +7% | $96.03 +17% | $145 +77% | Risk-on flows, a catalyst, or a short squeeze. |
| Base · median | $81.99 | $81.99 | $81.99 | Volatility continues at today's pace with no shock. Zero drift: the model doesn't assume trends continue. |
| Bear · bottom 10% | $76.71 −6% | $70.00 −15% | $46.22 −44% | Broad sell-off or negative news. Real crashes can go further. |
Move-size probabilities (±5/10/20%), 90-day and 1-year detail are in Pro.
Past WBT forecasts vs reality
| Issued | Horizon | From | 80% range | Outcome | Inside? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 04:05 | 4H | $82.08 | $81.26–$82.91 | pending | — |
| Oct 14 00:05 | 4H | $81.65 | $80.83–$82.48 | $82.08 +0.5% | ✓ |
| Oct 14 00:05 | 24H | $81.65 | $79.80–$83.55 | pending | — |
| Oct 14 00:05 | 7D | $81.65 | $76.39–$87.27 | pending | — |
| Oct 14 00:05 | 30D | $81.65 | $69.71–$95.63 | pending | — |
| Oct 13 20:05 | 4H | $81.75 | $80.93–$82.58 | $81.65 −0.1% | ✓ |
| Oct 13 16:05 | 4H | $82.00 | $81.18–$82.83 | $81.75 −0.3% | ✓ |
| Oct 13 00:05 | 24H | $81.59 | $79.69–$83.53 | $81.65 +0.1% | ✓ |
| Oct 13 00:05 | 7D | $81.59 | $76.20–$87.36 | pending | — |
| Oct 13 00:05 | 30D | $81.59 | $69.38–$95.95 | pending | — |
Live record: 4 hours 3 scored · 24 hours 1 scored · 7 days 0 scored · 30 days 0 scored · 90 days 0 scored · 1 year 0 scored · all coins
How this prediction is made
- Volatility from daily (and hourly for 4h) price moves, weighted toward recent days (EWMA, λ 0.94).
- Bands widened per horizon by factors fitted on 2018–2026 history so the 80% band holds ~80% of outcomes (crypto has fat tails).
- No drift: the model doesn't assume today's trend continues — direction is the job of signals, which are scored separately.
- Every forecast is written to an append-only ledger before the outcome and scored automatically.
Full methodology · WhiteBIT Coin research page · Alert me on big moves
Predictions are probability ranges, not promises. Crypto can move far outside any range.