Pro courseIntermediate12 minAI, Backtests and Bots
How AI Predictions Work
Many apps promise that AI can predict crypto prices. This module explains what a forecasting model really is, why markets are so hard to predict, and how to judge a forecast by checking it against what actually happened. You will also see DUKOIN's own honest test results.
- 1What is a prediction model?A prediction model is a set of rules learned from past data. Learn what that means, what it needs, and why past patterns may not repeat.3 min
- 2Why crypto prices are so hard to predictNoise, fairly efficient markets and sudden regime changes make price direction very hard to forecast, even for advanced models.3 min
- 3Point forecasts, probability ranges and calibrationLearn the difference between a single-price forecast and a probability range, what an 80% range means, and how to check if it is honest.3 min
- 4DUKOIN's honest results and AI prediction red flagsWhat DUKOIN's tests found (no up/down edge, useful risk ranges), red flags in AI price marketing, and why an AI chat assistant is not a forecast.3 min
Part of DUKOIN Pro
See plansEvery lesson's introduction is free to read. The full lessons, quiz and challenges come with Pro.
Education, not investment advice. Crypto prices can fall sharply and most retail traders lose money. Practice in DUKOIN uses virtual USD with no real value.